Anton Turkalj vs Mahamed Aly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record5-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
78"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GBG MMATeamOne Way Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anton TurkaljMahamed Aly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mahamed Aly60%
Anton Turkalj 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 60% favorite over Anton Turkalj in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anton Turkalj's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1596), separated by just 4 points.
Anton Turkalj enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anton Turkalj finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.