Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Baisangur Susurkaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record12-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
79"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio Carlos Jr.Now 1747
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
Baisangur SusurkaevNow 1743
If they win+16→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.12
Sig. strikes / min
4.56
42%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
40%
Strike defense
53%
2.92
Takedown avg.
2.76
80%
Takedown accuracy
29%
73%
Takedown defense
100%
2.19
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Antônio Carlos Jr.Baisangur Susurkaev
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
12 (67%)
Submission
2 (17%)
6 (33%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Baisangur Susurkaev66%
Antônio Carlos Jr. 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Baisangur Susurkaev a 66% favorite over Antônio Carlos Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Carlos Jr.'s way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1743), separated by just 4 points.

Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Baisangur Susurkaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Baisangur Susurkaev 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.