Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Costello van Steenis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record18-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Vlaardingen
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Carlos Jr.Costello van Steenis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Costello van Steenis66%
Antônio Carlos Jr. 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Costello van Steenis a 66% favorite over Antônio Carlos Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1752), separated by just 5 points.
Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Costello van Steenis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Costello van Steenis 82%.
Antônio Carlos Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.