Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Nursulton Ruziboev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record37-9-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'5"
79"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUZB Patriot
What's at stake
Antônio Carlos Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nursulton Ruziboev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1762
If they lose-17→ 1730
If they win+13→ 1739
If they lose-11→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Carlos Jr.Nursulton Ruziboev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nursulton Ruziboev51%
Antônio Carlos Jr. 49%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 51% favorite over Antônio Carlos Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Carlos Jr.'s way (47%).
Antônio Carlos Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1726, a 21-point edge.
Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.
Antônio Carlos Jr. carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.