Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio McKee vs Mateusz Rębecki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-6-2Record20-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach66"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team BodyshopTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio McKeeNow 1725
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
Mateusz RębeckiNow 1727
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.79
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
0.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.36
74%
Strike defense
55%
1.47
Takedown avg.
3.05
33%
Takedown accuracy
7%
57%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Antonio McKeeMateusz Rębecki
175018002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
4 (13%)
Submission
7 (35%)
21 (70%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateusz Rębecki70%
Antonio McKee 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Rębecki a 70% favorite over Antonio McKee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1727), separated by just 2 points.

Antonio McKee enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mateusz Rębecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Antonio McKee finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Rębecki 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.