Arata Mizuno vs Morgan Charrière
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record21-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Freelance· 1620 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Chapa Quente
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arata MizunoMorgan Charrière
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morgan Charrière65%
Arata Mizuno 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Charrière a 65% favorite over Arata Mizuno in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Arata Mizuno's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.
Morgan Charrière enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Arata Mizuno finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.