Combat Edge Intelligence

Arijan Topallaj vs Bojan Veličković

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-1Record25-13-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach76"
163 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet Eater· 1654 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arijan TopallajNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Bojan VeličkovićNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.18
Not available
Strike accuracy
35%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.67
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Arijan TopallajBojan Veličković
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
3 (30%)
Submission
11 (44%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Arijan Topallaj62%
Bojan Veličković 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 62% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.

Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Bojan Veličković 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.