Arijan Topallaj vs Chris Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-1Record18-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
163 lbsWeight155 lbs
Planet EaterTeamCW Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arijan TopallajChris Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arijan Topallaj70%
Chris Wilson 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 70% favorite over Chris Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1633), separated by just 5 points.
Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Chris Wilson 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.