Combat Edge Intelligence

Aristides Vinícius vs Humberto Bandenay

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-1Record27-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
68"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
CT Carrasco LimaTeamDogo Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aristides ViníciusNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Humberto BandenayNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
Not available
Strike defense
41%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.90
Not available
Takedown accuracy
46%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Aristides ViníciusHumberto Bandenay
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
8 (67%)
Submission
11 (41%)
1 (8%)
Decision
6 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Humberto Bandenay53%
Aristides Vinícius 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Humberto Bandenay a 53% favorite over Aristides Vinícius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1675), separated by just 1 points.

Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aristides Vinícius finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Humberto Bandenay 78%.

Humberto Bandenay carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.