Arkadiusz Wrzosek vs Gable Steveson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
82"Reach74"
243 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arkadiusz WrzosekGable Steveson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arkadiusz Wrzosek63%
Gable Steveson 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Arkadiusz Wrzosek a 63% favorite over Gable Steveson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1605), separated by just 5 points.
Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Arkadiusz Wrzosek finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Gable Steveson 100%.
Arkadiusz Wrzosek carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.