Combat Edge Intelligence

Armando Villarreal vs Nashkho Galaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record13-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Blitz Sport MMATeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armando VillarrealNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Nashkho GalaevNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
3.23
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Armando VillarrealNashkho Galaev
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Nashkho Galaev60%
Armando Villarreal 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nashkho Galaev a 60% favorite over Armando Villarreal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Armando Villarreal finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nashkho Galaev 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.