Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Dustin Neace
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record25-21-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
MjolnirTeamDamage Incorporated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonDustin Neace
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aron Franz Kristjansson66%
Dustin Neace 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 66% favorite over Dustin Neace in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Neace's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1508), separated by just 8 points.
Dustin Neace 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.