Combat Edge Intelligence

Artem Reznikov vs Matthew Semelsberger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-11-1Record11-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
69.3"Reach75"
161 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artem ReznikovNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Matthew SemelsbergerNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.01
Not available
Takedown accuracy
57%
Not available
Takedown defense
46%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Artem ReznikovMatthew Semelsberger
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
8 (31%)
Submission
1 (9%)
7 (27%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Artem Reznikov and Matthew Semelsberger within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1596), separated by just 0 points.

Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Artem Reznikov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Matthew Semelsberger 64%.

Matthew Semelsberger carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.