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Combat Edge Intelligence

Artur Astakhov vs Grant Neal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Grant Neal
us

Grant Neal

“The Truth”

9-2-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1622Solid

Tale of the tape

22-11-0Record9-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamGenesis Training Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artur AstakhovNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Grant NealNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Artur AstakhovGrant Neal
1600165020242025

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
5 (23%)
Submission
3 (33%)
5 (23%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Artur Astakhov57%
Grant Neal 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Artur Astakhov a 57% favorite over Grant Neal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Grant Neal's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1622), separated by just 2 points.

Artur Astakhov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Grant Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Artur Astakhov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Grant Neal 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.