Artur Beterbiev vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-0-0Record0-1-0
light heavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73.0"Reach-
174.9 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Artur Beterbiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Regan Upshaw carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1522
If they lose-26→ 1474
If they win+26→ 1504
If they lose-22→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
TBDPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw62%
Artur Beterbiev 38%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 62% favorite over Artur Beterbiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Artur Beterbiev's way (47%).
Artur Beterbiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1478, a 22-point edge.
Artur Beterbiev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.