Combat Edge Intelligence

Asaf Chopurov vs Juan Díaz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Juan Díaz
pe

Juan Díaz

“Pegajoso”

16-1-1BantamweightUFC

1726Good

Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record16-1-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sambo 34TeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asaf ChopurovNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Juan DíazNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.82
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.02
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Asaf ChopurovJuan Díaz
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
5 (45%)
Submission
3 (19%)
1 (9%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Asaf Chopurov64%
Juan Díaz 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Asaf Chopurov a 64% favorite over Juan Díaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Díaz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.

Asaf Chopurov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Juan Díaz enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Asaf Chopurov finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Juan Díaz 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.