Combat Edge Intelligence

Asbel Cancio vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
225 lbsWeight262 lbs
TeamCM System· 1645 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Asbel Cancio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Asbel CancioNow 1471
If they win+28→ 1499
If they lose-20→ 1451
Matheus ScheffelNow 1524
If they win+10→ 1534
If they lose-14→ 1510

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Asbel CancioMatheus Scheffel
150015501600199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel54%
Asbel Cancio 46%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 54% favorite over Asbel Cancio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1471, a 53-point edge.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.