Ashley Barrett vs Cara Greenwell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record3-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'4"
62"Reach69"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley BarrettCara Greenwell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cara Greenwell59%
Ashley Barrett 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 59% favorite over Ashley Barrett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1527), separated by just 7 points.
Ashley Barrett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Cara Greenwell 100%.
Cara Greenwell carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.