Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Barrett vs Elise Reed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record8-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
62"Reach63"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
USMMATeamKickside Martial Arts

What's at stake

Elise Reed is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ashley Barrett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ashley BarrettNow 1520
If they win+25→ 1545
If they lose-23→ 1497
Elise ReedNow 1538
If they win+15→ 1553
If they lose-17→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ashley BarrettElise Reed
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
6 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Elise Reed65%
Ashley Barrett 35%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Elise Reed a 65% favorite over Ashley Barrett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Elise Reed holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1538 to 1520, a 18-point edge.

Elise Reed enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ashley Barrett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Elise Reed 25%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.