Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Barrett vs Polyana Viana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record13-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'7"
62"Reach67"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
USMMATeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Polyana Viana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ashley Barrett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ashley BarrettNow 1520
If they win+25→ 1545
If they lose-23→ 1497
Polyana VianaNow 1541
If they win+15→ 1556
If they lose-17→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
35%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Ashley BarrettPolyana Viana
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (62%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Polyana Viana66%
Ashley Barrett 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Polyana Viana a 66% favorite over Ashley Barrett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Polyana Viana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1520, a 21-point edge.

Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ashley Barrett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.

Polyana Viana carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.