Ashley Reece vs Chris Mixan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
69"Reach74"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
HAMMATeamPete White Boxing and MMA
What's at stake
Ashley Reece is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chris Mixan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1627
If they lose-17→ 1595
If they win+17→ 1606
If they lose-15→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ReeceChris Mixan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ashley Reece and Chris Mixan within a point of even.
Ashley Reece holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1589, a 23-point edge.
Chris Mixan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Chris Mixan 86%.
Chris Mixan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.