Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Reece vs Zhasulan Akimzhanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Reece
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Ashley Reece

“The Beast”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
168 lbsWeight157 lbs
HAMMATeamArlan MMA Pro Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ReeceNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Zhasulan AkimzhanovNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ashley ReeceZhasulan Akimzhanov
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (18%)
5 (50%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ashley Reece and Zhasulan Akimzhanov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Zhasulan Akimzhanov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Zhasulan Akimzhanov 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.