Ashley Thiner vs Vanessa Demopoulos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record11-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'8"Height5'2"
65.5"Reach 59"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ThinerVanessa Demopoulos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Thiner79%
Vanessa Demopoulos 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Thiner a 79% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1577), separated by just 3 points.
Ashley Thiner enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashley Thiner finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.
Ashley Thiner carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.