Askar Askar vs Brad Katona
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record14-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
39,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Askar AskarBrad Katona
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Askar Askar52%
Brad Katona 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Askar Askar a 52% favorite over Brad Katona in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Katona's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1655), separated by just 10 points.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Askar Askar finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Brad Katona 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.