Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly vs Jhonata Diniz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach 79"
207 lbsWeight255 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyJhonata Diniz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhonata Diniz53%
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhonata Diniz a 53% favorite over Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1672), separated by just 8 points.
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Jhonata Diniz 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.