Combat Edge Intelligence

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'8"
TBDReach85"
207 lbsWeight264 lbs
Alash PrideTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
Renan FerreiraNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyRenan Ferreira
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (8%)
8 (42%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira64%
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly 36%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 64% favorite over Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1673), separated by just 7 points.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.