Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly vs Renan Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'8"
TBDReach85"
207 lbsWeight264 lbs
Alash PrideTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyRenan Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly73%
Renan Ferreira 27%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly a 73% favorite over Renan Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1673), separated by just 8 points.
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.