Combat Edge Intelligence

Ata Atdayev vs Mateus Mendonça

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kharkov Top TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ata AtdayevNow 1659
If they win+24→ 1683
If they lose-24→ 1635
Mateus MendonçaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
TBD
Strike defense
30%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.54
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Ata AtdayevMateus Mendonça
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
2 (29%)
Submission
5 (45%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Ata Atdayev79%
Mateus Mendonça 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ata Atdayev a 79% favorite over Mateus Mendonça in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1656), separated by just 3 points.

Ata Atdayev enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Ata Atdayev finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Mendonça 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.