Ata Atdayev vs Matheus Nicolau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-0-0Record19-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
-Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kharkov Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1683
If they lose-24→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ata AtdayevMatheus Nicolau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Nicolau55%
Ata Atdayev 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Nicolau a 55% favorite over Ata Atdayev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1662), separated by just 3 points.
Ata Atdayev enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ata Atdayev finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Nicolau 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.