Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Mendes vs Ronaldo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record11-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
36,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Soul Fighters BJJTeamCarrasco Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Augusto MendesNow 1565
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541
Ronaldo OliveiraNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.42
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
1.75
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Augusto MendesRonaldo Oliveira
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (67%)
Submission
8 (73%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronaldo Oliveira55%
Augusto Mendes 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Oliveira a 55% favorite over Augusto Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.

Augusto Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Augusto Mendes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Oliveira 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.