Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Mendes vs Šimon Bruknar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
36,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Soul Fighters BJJTeamGauner Club Jihlava

What's at stake

Šimon Bruknar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Augusto Mendes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Augusto MendesNow 1565
If they win+26→ 1591
If they lose-22→ 1543
Šimon BruknarNow 1588
If they win+22→ 1610
If they lose-26→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.42
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
1.75
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Augusto MendesŠimon Bruknar
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Šimon Bruknar65%
Augusto Mendes 35%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Šimon Bruknar a 65% favorite over Augusto Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Šimon Bruknar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1565, a 23-point edge.

Augusto Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Augusto Mendes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Šimon Bruknar 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.