Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Sakai vs Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-1Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"HeightTBD
77"Reach-
264 lbsWeight258 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Augusto Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Augusto SakaiNow 1612
If they win+17→ 1629
If they lose-15→ 1597
Seyedmostafa SalehizadehNow 1630
If they win+23→ 1653
If they lose-25→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
0.23
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
56%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Augusto SakaiSeyedmostafa Salehizadeh
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (35%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Augusto Sakai57%
Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh 43%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Sakai a 57% favorite over Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh's way (47%).

Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1612, a 18-point edge.

Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.