Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Tweedy vs James Llontop

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
39,0"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin TweedyNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
James LlontopNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
67%
Strike accuracy
42%
6.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
0%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austin TweedyJames Llontop
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (82%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

James Llontop71%
Austin Tweedy 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes James Llontop a 71% favorite over Austin Tweedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.

Austin Tweedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Austin Tweedy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.