Axel Sola vs Juan Pablo Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-1Record10-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamDyogo Teles MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Axel SolaJuan Pablo Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Pablo Vieira70%
Axel Sola 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Pablo Vieira a 70% favorite over Axel Sola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1710), separated by just 4 points.
Juan Pablo Vieira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Axel Sola finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Juan Pablo Vieira 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.