Ayane Hirata vs Istela Nunes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record6-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'4"
-Reach66"
108 lbsWeight115 lbs
BurstTeamTeam Nunes
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1517
If they lose-23→ 1469
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ayane HirataIstela Nunes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Istela Nunes54%
Ayane Hirata 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Istela Nunes a 54% favorite over Ayane Hirata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1492 vs 1501), separated by just 9 points.
Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Istela Nunes 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.