Ayinda Octave vs Caleb Woodside
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record4-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
71"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1473 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ayinda OctaveCaleb Woodside
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayinda Octave64%
Caleb Woodside 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 64% favorite over Caleb Woodside in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1594), separated by just 2 points.
Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Caleb Woodside enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Caleb Woodside 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.