Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayinda Octave vs Lorenzo Parente

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record4-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tauras Martial ArtsTeamHigher Level MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayinda OctaveNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Lorenzo ParenteNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1473 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayinda OctaveLorenzo Parente
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (25%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayinda Octave60%
Lorenzo Parente 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 60% favorite over Lorenzo Parente in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.

Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lorenzo Parente enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Lorenzo Parente 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.