Combat Edge Intelligence

Aysia Cortez vs Daniel Lacerda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
N/AReach70"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cortez Martial ArtsTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Aysia Cortez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Daniel Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aysia CortezNow 1548
If they win+21→ 1569
If they lose-27→ 1521
Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+18→ 1525
If they lose-14→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.28
TBD
Strike defense
35%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Aysia CortezDaniel Lacerda
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (58%)
2 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aysia Cortez64%
Daniel Lacerda 36%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Aysia Cortez a 64% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Aysia Cortez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1548 to 1507, a 41-point edge.

Aysia Cortez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aysia Cortez finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Lacerda 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.