Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayton De Paepe vs Eldiyar Alymseitov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record4-1-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayton De PaepeNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Eldiyar AlymseitovNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ayton De PaepeEldiyar Alymseitov
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (100%)
9 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Eldiyar Alymseitov53%
Ayton De Paepe 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eldiyar Alymseitov a 53% favorite over Ayton De Paepe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Eldiyar Alymseitov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Eldiyar Alymseitov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.