Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayton De Paepe vs Juan Carlos Izquierdo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight139 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamKiofu Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayton De PaepeNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Juan Carlos IzquierdoNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayton De PaepeJuan Carlos Izquierdo
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (29%)
9 (60%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ayton De Paepe and Juan Carlos Izquierdo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1583), separated by just 3 points.

Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Juan Carlos Izquierdo 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.