Ayton De Paepe vs Mathieu Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamBali MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayton De PaepeMathieu Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ayton De Paepe and Mathieu Greco within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1583), separated by just 3 points.
Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.