Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayton De Paepe vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach71"
146 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayton De PaepeNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.91
Not available
Takedown accuracy
20%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Ayton De PaepeRicky Turcios
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
3 (20%)
Submission
1 (8%)
9 (60%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Turcios70%
Ayton De Paepe 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Turcios a 70% favorite over Ayton De Paepe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.