Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayumu Yamamoto vs Walter Cogliandro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record17-9-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
K-PlaceTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayumu YamamotoNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Walter CogliandroNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Ayumu YamamotoWalter Cogliandro
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
3 (50%)
Submission
4 (24%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Walter Cogliandro76%
Ayumu Yamamoto 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Walter Cogliandro a 76% favorite over Ayumu Yamamoto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ayumu Yamamoto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1549), separated by just 3 points.

Walter Cogliandro enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ayumu Yamamoto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Walter Cogliandro 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.