Combat Edge Intelligence

Badreddine Diani vs Egor Kostyuchenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rebels TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badreddine DianiNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Egor KostyuchenkoNow 1626
If they win+24→ 1650
If they lose-24→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Badreddine DianiEgor Kostyuchenko
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (29%)
7 (64%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Egor Kostyuchenko58%
Badreddine Diani 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Egor Kostyuchenko a 58% favorite over Badreddine Diani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1626), separated by just 2 points.

Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Egor Kostyuchenko enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Badreddine Diani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Egor Kostyuchenko 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.