Combat Edge Intelligence

Bagdos Olzhabay vs Gauge Young

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gauge Young
us

Gauge Young

“Gee Money”

11-3-0LightweightUFC

1643Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68.9"Reach70"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Almaty Fight AcademyTeamIgnite Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bagdos OlzhabayNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Gauge YoungNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bagdos OlzhabayGauge Young
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
9 (53%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (29%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bagdos Olzhabay and Gauge Young within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1643), separated by just 0 points.

Bagdos Olzhabay enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gauge Young enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bagdos Olzhabay finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Gauge Young 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.