Combat Edge Intelligence

Bekzat Almakhan vs Brady Hiestand

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Triumph FightsTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bekzat AlmakhanNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Brady HiestandNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
34%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.75
37%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
4.80
0%
Takedown accuracy
46%
42%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Bekzat AlmakhanBrady Hiestand
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (38%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Bekzat Almakhan60%
Brady Hiestand 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bekzat Almakhan a 60% favorite over Brady Hiestand in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1660), separated by just 4 points.

Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Brady Hiestand 75%.

Brady Hiestand carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.