Bekzat Almakhan vs Mateus Soares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
68"Reach66.5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bekzat AlmakhanMateus Soares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bekzat Almakhan65%
Mateus Soares 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bekzat Almakhan a 65% favorite over Mateus Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.
Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mateus Soares enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Soares 91%.
Bekzat Almakhan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.