Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Alloway vs T.J. Schaefer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ben Alloway
au

Ben Alloway

“Benny Blanco”

18-9-0WelterweightEMMA

1606Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BBA Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team - Team Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben AllowayNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
T.J. SchaeferNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
0.62
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
27%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ben AllowayT.J. Schaefer
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
6 (33%)
Submission
1 (25%)
4 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

T.J. Schaefer59%
Ben Alloway 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes T.J. Schaefer a 59% favorite over Ben Alloway in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Alloway's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.

Ben Alloway enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

T.J. Schaefer enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ben Alloway finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, T.J. Schaefer 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.