Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Fraser Paterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
75"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamGriphouse

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonFraser Paterson
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
4 (80%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson60%
Ben Johnston 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 60% favorite over Ben Johnston in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Johnston's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1564), separated by just 5 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.