Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Tony Fryklund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record14-9-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'4"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamMiletich Fighting Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Tony FryklundNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
6.30
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
19.97
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.48

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonTony Fryklund
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
4 (80%)
Submission
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston70%
Tony Fryklund 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 70% favorite over Tony Fryklund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1569), separated by just 0 points.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tony Fryklund 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.