Ben Wall vs Julio Cesar Chaves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-1Record9-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCobra Thai Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1498
If they lose-16→ 1466
If they win+16→ 1498
If they lose-16→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben WallJulio Cesar Chaves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Wall55%
Julio Cesar Chaves 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Wall a 55% favorite over Julio Cesar Chaves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1482 vs 1482), separated by just 0 points.
Julio Cesar Chaves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Wall finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Julio Cesar Chaves 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.